Rohini Grover
This paper investigates the information role of algorithmic traders
(AT) in the Nifty index option market. I analyse a unique dataset to
test for information-based trading by looking at the effect of net buying
pressure of options on implied volatilities. According to the direction-
learning hypothesis, (directional) informed investors’ net buying pressure
of calls (puts) raises the implied volatilities of calls (puts) and
lowers the implied volatilities of puts (calls). In addition, their net
buying pressure can also predict future index returns. According to
the volatility-learning hypothesis, (volatility) informed investors’ net
buying pressure is always positively related to implied volatilities. I
find that these relations do not hold for AT and, therefore, infer absence
of information-based trading by AT. On the contrary, I find the
direction-learning hypothesis to hold for non-AT who, in this market,
are primarily individual investors.
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